Longleaf Politics

Longleaf Politics

How my predictions for 2025 panned out

In my defense, there was a lot of crazy stuff that happened.

Andrew Dunn
Dec 22, 2025
∙ Paid

We’ve officially entered the recap and review portion of the year.

Last year around this time, I put forward seven predictions for what I thought would happen in N.C. politics in 2025. You can read that piece here. It’s easy and safe to just throw predictions out there and never come back to them. But in the interest of full transparency for you, dear reader, I’m going to evaluate how my predictions held up.

Next week, I’ll bring you a fresh batch of predictions. I guarantee you that all of them will 100% come true.

Here’s how I fared with last year’s.

Roy Cooper and the U.S. Senate

My first prediction was that former Gov. Roy Cooper would, in fact, run for the U.S. Senate. You have to remember that at the time, this wasn’t a sure thing. U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis was still gearing up for his re-election bid, and Cooper was still getting hammered for his poor job with hurricane recovery. By February or March, I even thought that Cooper would stay out of the race.

Obviously, though, Cooper is no…

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 Andrew Dunn · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture