A State Navigate forecast making the rounds on social media yesterday made me do a double-take. Their projections actually show Democrats as narrow favorites to win a majority in the N.C. House.
I always knew there was an outside chance Democrats could flip the state House. In a sufficiently bad Republican year, plenty of things become possible. But for a Democratic takeover to become the actual prediction?
This is the stage of an election when everyone becomes a kid shaking presents under the Christmas tree. We’re desperate for any sliver of information that could help us see what’s coming in a week’s time. While these clues are often deceiving, it’s still looking like N.C. Republicans are in line for a big old hunk of coal.
I won’t go too deep into the State Navigate forecast since it is proprietary and behind a paywall. Yes, I did pay to look at it, and no, it doesn’t tell you a whole lot more than what we kind of already know.
The approach is pretty standard. It starts with previous e…
