Pretty much everyone expects Democrats to do well in this November’s elections. The question is how well.
You’ve likely started seeing maps floating around (like this one from Carolina Forward) showing what a Democratic wave could do in the General Assembly elections next month. It’s pretty grim.
If you take the generic ballot polls at face value and apply them to the individual districts, things get pretty apocalyptic pretty fast. Republicans lose the House. The Senate hangs on by a seat or ends in a tie. Push the numbers further and Democrats take the whole legislature.
Now, before we all start hyperventilating, it’s worth slowing down and remembering that we don’t divvy up legislative seats based on a generic ballot.
I’m not saying results like those above are outside the realm of possibility. But there isn’t a generic Republican running against a generic Democrat in each of these districts.
Rep. Allen Chesser is running in Nash County. Reps. Mike Schietzelt and Erin Paré are running i…
