Longleaf Politics

Longleaf Politics

N.C. Democratic registrations drop over last two weeks

North Carolina mirrors a national trend, but it could be a blip

Andrew Dunn
Sep 20, 2025
∙ Paid
Share

The New York Post just published an article about a significant rise in party-switching across the country in the wake of Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s heavily anecdotal, but cites some numbers in states like Florida, Pennsylvania and New Mexico.

From the article:

The Republican Party is seeing a “Charlie Kirk effect,” with moderate Democrats and Independents switching party affiliation at breakneck speed. …

The rate of Republican registrations in Florida tripled in the days immediately following Kirk’s slaying.

“Since Charlie was killed we’ve been seeing about 600 new Republican voters a day,” Florida GOP chair Evan Power told The Post. “We [usually] average about 200 a day, so 600 is a much bigger number—it’s a big deal.”

I pulled North Carolina’s numbers to see if the same holds true here.

The answer: Kind of.

I see the same general trend in this data, but its not dramatic and could just be a blip. While the Democratic numbers falling, that’s been the general trend over the past f…

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Andrew Dunn
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture