Longleaf Politics

Longleaf Politics

The myth of the unwinnable GOP primary

The “anti-establishment takeover” is mostly a self-fulfilling prophecy. Too many candidates stopped trying to win the voters who doubt them.

Andrew Dunn
Feb 02, 2026
∙ Paid

Political people love to speculate about potential future races. Every once in a while, I hear somebody say that “so and so” would be an excellent general election candidate, but they’d never make it out of a Republican primary.

I touched on this topic in my latest newspaper column, about U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis. Basically, I note that ever since dropping his re-election bid, Tillis has been unusually blunt and candid in his criticisms of the Trump administration.

That raises the obvious question: Where has this been for the last decade? The conventional wisdom is that if Tillis had said things like this from the beginning, he’d have been run out of Congress on a rail.

I’m not so sure, and I asked readers to do a little thought experiment about how things would have gone. Read the column here, free with gift link: What if Thom Tillis was like this all along?

There’s only so much ground I can cover in 800 words, and there’s a ton left to say here. To bring the Tillis thread to a close, a f…

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